Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Australian Prime Minister: Papua New Guinea rugby team will enter the Australian League in 2028.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.
Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations. Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations, saying that on December 2, the BIS of the US Department of Commerce issued new control measures for semiconductors exported and transferred to People's Republic of China (PRC) (China), covering advanced integrated circuit (IC) products, specific integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and technology, and supercomputers related to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced computing. According to the new regulations, Shengmei Shanghai and its domestic and Korean subsidiaries are included in the BIS entity list. ACM Research, Inc and its direct subsidiaries outside Chinese mainland are not included in the list. The company is comprehensively evaluating the potential impact of the new regulations on the company's business and operation plans. Based on the current information, the company believes that as the company has established diversified supply chains and alternative resources, the impact on the delivery and service capacity of equipment produced by Shengmei Shanghai and sold to domestic customers will be controllable and manageable. The new regulations will not affect the company's product sales, delivery and service capabilities to overseas customers. Consistent with previous years, the company plans to voluntarily disclose the announcement of 2024 annual operating results and 2025 annual operating results forecast in January 2025.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a public speech: I will fight with the public until the last moment.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.
CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).Zhong Xuegao's subsidiary was forced to execute 16.62 million yuan. According to the legal litigation information, recently, Zhongmao (Shanghai) Food Technology Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of 16.62 million yuan. The enforcement court is the Yangpu District People's Court in Shanghai. Zhongmao (Shanghai) Food Technology Co., Ltd. was established in June 2020. The legal representative is Wang Keqin, with a registered capital of RMB 10 million, and it is wholly owned by Zhong Xuegao Food (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Tianyan risk information shows that the company has more than 20 pieces of information about executed persons, and the total amount of execution exceeds 31.62 million yuan. In addition, there are also a number of consumption restriction orders, untrustworthy executed persons (Lao Lai) and final case information.Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13